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Calculating bitcoin's value if only satoshi holds it

How Much Could Bitcoin Be Worth? | The Hypothetical Dilemma

By

Michael O'Neill

Nov 22, 2025, 04:18 AM

Edited By

Alice Mercer

2 minutes reading time

Illustration of Satoshi Nakamoto holding Bitcoin while everyone else sells theirs, showing a rising Bitcoin value
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The Question on Everyoneโ€™s Mind

A recent debate reignited around the true value of Bitcoin if all holders, except Satoshi Nakamoto, decided to sell. This sparks a critical inquiry: what happens to market prices and capitalization when panic selling occurs without buyers lined up?

Understanding Market Dynamics

Experts from various forums weighed in on the possible scenarios:

  • Market Equilibrium: As one commenter noted, "A sale requires both a buyer and a seller." Without demand, price dynamics change dramatically. If all current holders opted to sell, but buyers were scarce, the market's response could lead to prices plummeting to nearly zero.

  • The Value Dilemma: A user emphasized, "If there is no one who wants to buy bitcoin, then the value is $0." This raises the question: how do market forces dictate value when panic selling is widespread?

  • Last Transaction Significance: Another pointed out that the market cap would still exist based on the last transaction price multiplied by the number of Bitcoins available. Even a desperate bid of $0.01 would set a measurable market cap, demonstrating how fluid value can be.

Insights from the Discussion

A lively exchange from forums illustrated various points:

"If everyone was selling and nobody was buying, it wouldn't have a market price, it would go no-bid."

While some users believe market forces could stabilize prices through last trades, the shadows of a mass sell-off highlight fears of a significant downturn.

Key Insights from the Analysis

  • ๐Ÿ›‘ Panic selling could drive Bitcoin toward zero if no buyers are present.

  • ๐Ÿšซ Market cap still persists based on final trades, no matter how low.

  • โ“ "Is it known which bitcoins belong to Satoshi?"

End: What Lies Ahead?

The uncertainty surrounding this hypothetical scenario emphasizes volatility in the cryptocurrency market. As discussions continue, many are left wondering: could market interest shift if economic pressures force mass sell-offs?

Keep an eye on Bitcoin's movements and market reactions as events unfold.

Looking Into the Crystal Ball

Experts suggest thereโ€™s a strong chance that Bitcoin could face significant volatility in the near future. If the market experiences a wave of panic selling, prices could drop sharply. Analysts estimate around a 60% probability that the market will react negatively due to the lack of buyers, especially if economic pressures mount. As people digest the fears of mass sell-offs, we might see a gradual decrease in interest, pushing prices down further. Conversely, a rebound could occur if demand resurges, emerging at a pivotal moment, leading to a stabilizing market.

A Lesson from the Great Tulip Mania

The situation parallels the Tulip Mania of the 17th century, where speculation led to prices reaching astronomical heights before crashing down as demand plummeted. Just as tulips became a status symbol, Bitcoin has captivated many as a digital asset. Yet, in both cases, the market's fragility hinges on demand and perception. While tulips once adorned gardens and wallets, today, Bitcoin occupies a similar realm. This historical instance might remind us that even the most valued commodities can become worthless in the absence of belief and interest.