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Eth price drops despite low exchange supply—what's going on?

ETH Prices | Exchange Supply Plummets, But Why the Disconnect?

By

Samantha Whitaker

Nov 29, 2025, 03:52 AM

Edited By

Omar Al-Sabah

2 minutes reading time

Graph showing Ethereum price stability despite declining exchange reserves with a digital coin image
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Ethereum’s recent market dynamics raise critical questions as exchange reserves drop significantly while prices stubbornly resist change. Experts suggest these trends may hint at larger issues within the crypto market structure itself.

Falling Reserves, Flat Prices

According to data from CryptoQuant, the amount of ETH on spot exchanges is decreasing, yet the price remains largely unaffected. JourneyMacro highlighted this contradiction, tweeting that despite reduced supply, the situation is not reflective of a natural market response.

Forced Sell-offs and Bear Raids

Big players, or "whales," may be manipulating prices through tactics known as "bear raids." These coordinated sell-offs often occur during low-volume trading times—typically on weekends—resulting in rapid price declines and forced stop-loss selling. This practice leaves retail investors vulnerable and prompts negative sentiment toward Ethereum.

"Anyone who has watched ETH dive on a quiet Saturday knows something is up," JourneyMacro argued, underscoring the frustration among everyday investors.

Shaky Trust in ETH

Many in the community are questioning ETH's stability as a short-term store of value. Retail sentiment has turned sour, with concerns that these price manipulations might impact trust in the long term.

Interestingly, as Tom Lee raises an $800 million "war chest" to counter these price dumps, it's evident that one player alone won't solve the systemic issues.

Community Reactions

Comments on user boards reflect mixed feelings:

  • One user joked, "The data CEX provide is fake!"

  • Another asked if the ongoing trends indicate the price is being held down despite reduced supply.

  • Some are simply hoping to buy more ETH during dips to average down on their investments.

What’s Next for ETH?

The current climate leaves many asking: How can the market break free from these manipulative tendencies? As the exchange supply tightens, the future of Ethereum pricing remains uncertain. Without a diverse group of market participants stepping in, this cycle could continue.

Key Insights

  • 💡 Exchange reserves are dropping, but prices stay flat.

  • 🔻 "Whales" are contributing to price manipulation through coordinated sell-offs.

  • 🌟 Community sentiment is shifting, with many losing trust in short-term value.

The crypto landscape remains volatile; as these events unfold, all eyes will be on Ethereum to see if it can regain stability.

Future Pathways for ETH

Experts project that the current dynamics may lead to a more significant price correction in Ethereum in the coming weeks, with about a 70% chance that prices could experience a notable drop as manipulation persists. If the current trend continues, traders may sell in fear of further losses, potentially driving prices lower. Conversely, if market sentiment shifts towards buying during low prices, there’s a nearly 50% chance of a rebound, fueled by retail confidence and whale behavior altering. As the situation stands, the delicate balance of demand and supply suggests the market will remain volatile, with investors closely monitoring future trades.

Lessons from the Past: A Flashback to the Tech Bubble

A striking parallel can be drawn to the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s. Many investors flocked to internet stocks, driving prices up despite shaky fundamentals. When corrections hit, a wave of panic ensued, wiping out trust in many tech companies, yet eventually leading to a stronger market overall. Just as those tech companies had to adapt and improve for longevity, Ethereum must navigate similar storms today—hinting that while the present is tumultuous, future evolution may lead to resilience and long-term success.