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Ethereum's upgrades propel deflation in eth supply

Ethereum's Path to Deflation | Network Upgrades Spark Activity Surge

By

Lydia Chen

Nov 23, 2025, 04:23 PM

3 minutes reading time

Graphic showing Ethereum blockchain upgrades enhancing data handling and ETH supply reduction
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Ethereum is on the brink of a significant transformation, with whispers of real, long-term deflation gaining momentum. This shift stems from a series of network upgrades poised to enhance data handling, scale activity, and increase ETH burn rates. Researchers, like Joseph Young, warn that many aren't paying attention to these pivotal changes.

Current Trends in Layer 2 Activity

Layer 2 solutions such as Base, Arbitrum, and Lighter are experiencing record activity. Transactions are processed as blobs, with each blob incurring fees that are subsequently burned. This mechanism already holds substantial importance, but future upgrades promise to elevate its impact.

Upcoming Upgrades: What to Expect

The imminent Fusaka upgrade, known as PeerDAS, is set to turbocharge blob throughput from six to forty-eight. This eightfold increase enables Layer 2 solutions to handle more demanding applications like high-frequency trading. More blobs equal more ETH being burned, which could significantly impact supply. ๐ŸŒ "More L2 activity leads to more data; itโ€™s a simple loop that strengthens supply pressure," Young emphasizes.

Addressing Challenges in the Upgrade

Yet, PeerDAS brings challenges, increasing the load on nodes. Fortunately, EIP-7928 aims to tackle this bottleneck, ensuring block checking remains quick and reliable despite the amplified data flow.

Mixed Reactions from the Community

Commentators on various forums have expressed mixed feelings:

  • Some argue that the potential for rising transaction costs may counteract the benefits of increased blob usage. "Transaction costs will go down, but burned ETH might not rise," a skeptic points out.

  • Others are less optimistic: "Anything to stop this turd from plummeting," one frustrated commenter stated.

  • Positively, thereโ€™s a sense of relief that capable minds are making adjustments, as one user noted, "I'm glad smarter people are handling these changes."

Key Points to Consider

  • ๐Ÿ”ฅ The upcoming PeerDAS upgrade may increase ETH burn through higher blob throughput.

  • ๐Ÿ“‰ However, concerns arise about possible declines in transaction costs impacting deflation rates.

  • ๐Ÿค” Community sentiment remains divided, with skepticism on whether these changes will lead to significant price improvements.

The evolution of Ethereumโ€™s ecosystem remains a tense subject. Will these upgrades translate into lasting changes for ETH? Only time will tell as the community watches closely.

Looking Ahead: Potential Shifts in Ethereum's Landscape

With the upcoming PeerDAS upgrade, there's a solid chance that Ethereum will see an uptick in ETH burn rates due to the surge in blob throughput. Experts estimate around a 30% increase in deflation rates if Layer 2 solutions capitalize on this upgrade effectively. However, if transaction costs rise significantly, it may counteract these benefitsโ€”leading to a 20% probability that the desired deflationary impact doesn't fully materialize. The evolution of Ethereum's ecosystem is poised at a critical juncture; sustaining community confidence will be vital as these upgrades unfold, which will likely determine ETHโ€™s price trajectory in the coming months.

An Unexpected Echo from History

Similar to the rise of the internet in the late '90s, where initial skepticism surrounded emerging technologies, the current atmosphere around Ethereum might seem uncertain. Just as early web adopters faced challenges over bandwidth and cost, Ethereum now grapples with transaction fees and data processing demands. Many thought the internet would fail to live up to its initial hype, yet it transformed global communication and commerce. Like Ethereum's current phase, that period was marked by a mix of enthusiasm and doubt. We might look back in a few years and recognize this moment in crypto history as the transformative tipping point everyone missed.