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Polymarket trader rakes in $118 k betting on elon musk tweets

Trader Turns Elon Musk Tweets into $118,000 Windfall | Controversy Erupts

By

Marcus Yu

Mar 12, 2026, 07:14 PM

Edited By

Nina Evans

Updated

Mar 13, 2026, 12:41 AM

2 minutes reading time

A trader joyfully celebrating a profit from betting on Elon Musk's tweets with a laptop and dollar signs around them.
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A trader known as Prexpect has generated a striking $118,754 profit on Polymarket by betting on the frequency of Elon Musk's tweets since November 2024. This peculiar strategy gained attention after a Snapchat mishap inadvertently showcased his winnings to the masses, stirring debate in the betting community.

Snapchat Slip Exposes Profit

Recently, a Snapchat meant for a close circle of 47 friends revealed Prexpect's notable gains. A screenshot displaying a quick $19,000 win went viral on Twitter, accumulating 340,000 views in just hours. Some observers were taken aback, with one comment noting, "Imagine telling someone in 2015 that in 10 years you'd make six figures predicting when Elon posts on Twitter."

The Strategy

Prexpect's approach involves a keen analysis of Musk's tweeting habits. He has made 1,943 predictions, betting on the same topic weekly. However, opinions on this method are divided. Critics argue it's more akin to gambling than trading. "Gambler, not trader," noted one commenter.

Growing Concerns and Debates

The discussion surrounding this betting strategy reveals a mix of perspectives:

  • Legality Issues: Critics voice concerns about potential market manipulation, questioning whether this practice should be regulated.

  • Skill vs. Luck: While some view it as a strategic method, others see it as mere gambling, reflecting broader debates within the betting community.

  • Ethical Implications: Comments suggest the betting might cross ethical lines, especially when considering how wealth influences outcomes. One pointed out, "If you have enough money, you can make the truth whatever you want it to be."

"Sounds like he was taking the overs after Elon was tweeting," remarked an observer, highlighting the method behind the betting.

Sentiment Shifts

While reactions are varied, many seem skeptical about the ethics of betting on social media influences. The discussion also raises questions about how much influence a single individual's online actions could yield in the betting scene.

Notable Insights

  • ๐ŸŒŸ Prexpect profited $118,754 from betting on Muskโ€™s tweets.

  • โš–๏ธ Critics warn about potential ethical breaches in betting practices.

  • โšก "Gambler, not trader," signifies the criticism of strategy validity.

Prexpect's scenario marks a defining moment for prediction markets, emphasizing the narrow line between skill and luck. As more people explore betting linked to social media actions, the conversation will likely evolve, balancing interests with ethical considerations.