
Recent discussions among people online reveal growing excitement about XRP's price trajectory as ETF approvals unfold. The potential for ETFs to make significant purchases of XRP raises questions about market balance and available supply.
Experts are analyzing what could happen to XRP's value if all ETFs start buying in. Some suggest that if they absorb the current daily average of trading volumes, we could see approximately 584 billion XRP brought off the market within a year. This would create significant pressures on the already limited circulating supply, estimated at about 60 billion XRP.
Daily trading volume (Q1 2025): ~$3.2 billion
Current circulating supply: ~60 billion XRP
Total fixed supply: 100 billion XRP
Current Binance reserves: ~7 billion XRP
"His math ainโt mathin', $3B a day isnโt anywhere close to what it should be," a skeptic observed, calling attention to the projected figures.
If ETFs purchase $3.2 billion worth of XRP daily, translating to about 580 million XRP per day, the annual total reaches nearly 543 billion XRP. Given the constraints of circulating supply, this situation poses risks of severe scarcity and price fluctuations in the market.
Liquidity Issues
Increased ETF buying could lead to further depletion of the limited XRP reserves held by exchanges, particularly Binance, raising alarms about liquidity.
Seller Behavior
Some market watchers believe scarcity might further drive seller competition.
Price Dynamics
Analysts are forecasting that heavy ETF demand could lead to a significant price surge as available XRP becomes an increasingly rare asset.
"Current liquidity is in the low billions. If ETFs absorb daily volumes, exchange balances could approach zero within weeks," one analyst warned.
Commenters express a range of opinions, highlighting three distinct themes:
Concerns About Market Scarcity: Many worry that if ETFs take one-third of total XRP supply, this could leave retail traders with little access.
Skepticism Toward Predictions: "The folks running scenarios are just grasping at straws. No one knows what's going to happen,**" shared someone, echoing a common sentiment of uncertainty in market forecasts.
General Frustration: Mixed feelings exist about the publicโs understanding of cryptocurrency and blockchain technology. "In Central NC, many still see XRP as nothing more than gambling, like a scratch-off ticket," remarked one frustrated responder.
โฝ Around 50% of comments show skepticism towards bullish predictions.
โ ๏ธ Many voices caution against aggressive ETF-driven price forecasts, stressing that even modest inflows could choke liquidity.
โ A projection suggests a considerable chance of XRP prices hitting around $7.00 in the next six months as the demand-supply scenario deteriorates.
In light of recent developments, XRP's trajectory remains uncertain. Some people are comparing current trends to the dot-com boom, reminding investors to stay grounded in their expectations.
As ETF discussions persist, many in the crypto community await the definitive impact of these market changes on XRP. The atmosphere is charged, and market participants are bracing for potential volatility as excitement continues to mount.